New guest poster this week, but as she is a scientist and project manager for a vaccine manufacturer, she’s posting by her first name only: Katy.  The opinions expressed in this blog post are hers alone and not necessarily that of her company or any of its representatives.

The recent news of President Elect Trump’s possible interest in Robert Kennedy Jr. to chair a commission on vaccine safety and scientific integrity is disturbing on many levels.  From a financial position, spending taxpayer money on a commission to investigate vaccine safety and the link between vaccines and autism, would be about as worthwhile as starting a commission to investigate how many days are in a year.  And from a position of logic, robert_kennedy_jr-_speech_4Robert Kennedy Jr is not only unqualified to hold a position in anything related to human health and immunization, but his appointment would directly undermine President Elect Trump’s establishment shakedown.  Essentially, the only thing that differentiates Robert Kennedy Jr from any other conspirator, is his last name, which comes from one of the most established families in US government.  

Immunization is already heavily reviewed and monitored by multiple agencies (listed in no particular order); HHS, CDC, FDA, HRSA, NIH, CMS, IHS, NVPO, BARDA, DoD and VA.  These groups participate in the National Vaccine Advisory Committee (NVAC) which “promotes collaboration among all federal partners invested in vaccine safety activities” (1).  All of these acronyms mean a whole lot of smart people (medical doctors, researchers and public health experts) who have dedicated their lives to finding safer and more effective ways to protect human health worldwide through vaccination and medical advancement.  

According to Robert Kennedy Jr, these people are also involved in the US government conspiracy to cover up the link between vaccination and autism.  A link that has been disproven by more than 100 studies (and no, these weren’t performed by the government or by vaccine manufacturers)(2).  The arguments presented by people like Robert Kennedy Jr and the anti-vaccine community are rooted in fear, not in science.  And it is this fear of vaccines that perplexes me….  

Rather than fear of a disease (influenza) that continues to cause upwards of 200,000 hospitalizations and an average of 40,000 deaths in the US alone each year (3), or fear of a disease (measles) that remains a leading cause of death in children worldwide (4), or fear of a disease (polio) that can cause paralysis and death primarily in children under the age of 5, a disease that was eradicated in the US thanks to mass immunization (5), the anti-vaccine movement perpetuates fear of the single most profound advancement in public health: vaccination.  

And if that data isn’t convincing, let’s look at some more numbers:

polydactyly_01_lhand_apYou are more likely to:

  • be struck by lightning (1 in 10,000)
  • be born with an extra finger or toe (1 in 500)
  • be injured by a toilet (1 in 1,000)

than you are to be injured by a vaccine (1:28,000).  That means out of the roughly 92,000,000 children that have been vaccinated since the inception of the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (NVICP) in 1988, only 3,256 cases have been ruled in the judicial system as damage caused by a vaccine and receiving compensation(6).  And this number is also skewed because while the 92,000,000 doesn’t include the hundreds of thousands of adults each year receiving vaccinations, it does include their possible NVICP cases in the 3,256.  A child alone has a 1 in a million chance of suffering an allergic reaction to a vaccine.  Compare this to the 1 in 100 chance of being in a car accident and a 1 in 10,000 chance of that car accident being fatal.  All of this data is also not saying that there have not been any problems.  It is simply stating that the risk of having a problem with a vaccine are so low as compared to the risk of getting sick with the disease or spreading it to others.  

It would be imprudent to ignore the risks of injecting anything into your body.  But risk of injury from a vaccine is far less than the risk of injury from catching these diseases.  There is also a proven public health benefit called herd immunity that shows the measurable protection gained through a community with high vaccination rates (7).  Therefore, by vaccinating yourself you protect others around you as well, those who are too young to receive a vaccine, the elderly or immunocompromised.  

2012-12-25-08-26-31
Who wouldn’t want to protect this adorable baby???

So those are the numbers on vaccine safety, what about effectiveness?  Vaccination has lead to the worldwide eradication of smallpox and eradication of polio across most of the globe.  Smallpox is believed to have caused over 500M deaths and has been a devastating disease across human history.  Polio affected hundreds of thousands of people in the US annually in the 20th century, with as many as 7,000 deaths annually until the introduction of a vaccine in the mid-20th century.  So many lives have been saved worldwide due to vaccination that you cannot even find a total.  For example, from 2000 to 2015 the WHO estimates 17.1 million lives saved worldwide from measles alone.   

Therefore, President Trump and Mr. Kennedy you are wrong.  There is no link between vaccination and autism and your belief in such only proves your complete disregard for science and data-driven analysis.  Furthermore, your propaganda undermines one of the most significant advancements in human history: immunization.  The implementation of a Vaccine Commission lead by a conspiracy theorist who believes there is a government cover-up on a link between vaccines and autism would only lead to ineffective and irrelevant conclusions on vaccination and a waste of taxpayers money.    

References:

  1. https://www.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/nvpo/vacc_plan/vaccine-safety-scientific-agenda-pdf.pdf
  2. https://justthevax.blogspot.com/2014/03/75-studies-that-show-no-link-between.html
  3. https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/163/2/181/95820/Mortality-due-to-Influenza-in-the-United-States-An
  4. http://who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs286/en/
  5. http://vaccines.procon.org/view.additional-resource.php?resourceID=005964
  6. http://www.redwineandapplesauce.com/2013/03/05/a-look-at-the-numbers-in-vaccine-reactions/
  7. http://cid.oxfordjournals.org/content/52/7/911.full
  8. American Academy of Pediatrics
  9. American Academy of Allergy, Asthma and Immunology
  10. Center for Diseases (CDC)